Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad before 2027?
61
1kṀ21k2027
83%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Same as this market, but for AI that gets gold on the 2023, 2024, 2025, or 2026 IMO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?
93% chance
Will an AI get silver on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
86% chance
Will an AI get bronze on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
87% chance
Will an AI get gold at the IMO? (no time restrain)
76% chance
When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?
Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration like o3) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
11% chance
What will be the first year that an AI gets gold on an International Mathematical Olympiad?
Will there be 2 or more combinatorics problems on IMO 2025 x Will AI get a gold medal on IMO 2025?
Will AI get at least bronze on the International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) before 2026?
90% chance
Will an AI get at least silver on International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) by end of 2025?
98% chance