Related market: https://manifold.markets/Austin/will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat
Nov 14, 8:20am: Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by 2025? → Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
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@GCS It just blew through the geometry questions at the bronze level and surpasses the silver-level : "In a paper published today in Nature, we introduce AlphaGeometry, an AI system that solves complex geometry problems at a level approaching a human Olympiad gold-medalist - a breakthrough in AI performance. In a benchmarking test of 30 Olympiad geometry problems, AlphaGeometry solved 25 within the standard Olympiad time limit. For comparison, the previous state-of-the-art system solved 10 of these geometry problems, and the average human gold medalist solved 25.9 problems."
@NoUsernameSelected I'll wait until 2025 to see if some other AI subsequently wins a bronze or silver, but if not, I think that it should resolve NO.
@ValeryCherepanov This is intended to match the timespan of the original bet and include the 2025 IMO. The title was copied from Austin's market on the original bet, but I will edit it to clarify.