Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by end of 2025?
365
1.8kṀ210k2026
76%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves based off the outcomes of two other markets:
If either of these resolve YES, this resolves YES. If both resolve NO, this resolves NO. If either of the linked markets resolves to something other than YES or NO, I will use my best judgement.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Conditional on AI getting at least bronze on the IMO, will it get gold by 2025?
51% chance
Will AI get at least bronze on the International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) before 2026?
90% chance
What years will AI win IMO bronze (or higher)?
Will AI first get IMO gold in 2026 or 2027?
37% chance
Will an AI get at least silver on International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) by end of 2025?
98% chance
Will AI get IMO Gold by 2025/Wipe out Humanity by 2030?
Will AI win a gold on IMO before it wins a gold on IOI?
48% chance