Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by end of 2025?
364
1.8kṀ210k2026
77%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves based off the outcomes of two other markets:
If either of these resolve YES, this resolves YES. If both resolve NO, this resolves NO. If either of the linked markets resolves to something other than YES or NO, I will use my best judgement.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
AI IMO 2025: How many AI labs announce a Gold performance at the IMO in 2025?
Conditional on AI getting at least bronze on the IMO, will it get gold by 2025?
53% chance
Will AI get at least bronze on the International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) before 2026?
90% chance
Will an AI get gold at the IMO? (no time restrain)
62% chance
What years will AI win IMO bronze (or higher)?
Will AI first get IMO gold in 2026 or 2027?
37% chance
Will an AI get at least silver on International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) by end of 2025?
98% chance
Will AI win a gold on IMO before it wins a gold on IOI?
51% chance
Will AI get IMO Gold by 2025/Wipe out Humanity by 2030?