Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?
Basic
32
2.7k
2029
50%
chance

Same as this market, but for AI that gets gold on an IMO from 2023 through 2028.

Get Ṁ600 play money
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bought Ṁ150 YES

I’m assuming this will be resolved based on how many problems will AI be able to solve, not based on whether it’s actually awarded a medal. Is that right?

@OlegEterevsky as a no bettor on these markets, that is also what I assume, and what seems fair to me.

@OlegEterevsky Yes, that is right, that is how I interpret the criteria of the linked market.

For reference