Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?
Standard
45
Ṁ5777
2029
88%
chance
DeepMind Announces Silver Performance on 2024 IMO
https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/ai-solves-imo-problems-at-silver-medal-level/

Same as this market, but for AI that gets gold on an IMO from 2023 through 2028.

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Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
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bought Ṁ150 YES

I’m assuming this will be resolved based on how many problems will AI be able to solve, not based on whether it’s actually awarded a medal. Is that right?

@OlegEterevsky as a no bettor on these markets, that is also what I assume, and what seems fair to me.

@OlegEterevsky Yes, that is right, that is how I interpret the criteria of the linked market.

For reference