Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032? | Manifold

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032?

70

1kṀ56k

2032

91%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

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predictedYES

https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/alphageometry-an-olympiad-level-ai-system-for-geometry/

this is way too high

predictedNO

just checking: it is intentional that this is until the start of 2032, while all other IMO markets are until the end of the year they mention?

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Related questions

Will AI win a gold on IMO before it wins a gold on IOI?

Will an AI get at least silver on International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) by end of 2025?

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Will there be 2 or more combinatorics problems on IMO 2025 x Will AI get a gold medal on IMO 2025?

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