Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032? | Manifold

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032?

70

1kṀ56k

2032

91%

chance

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predictedYES

https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/alphageometry-an-olympiad-level-ai-system-for-geometry/

this is way too high

predictedNO

just checking: it is intentional that this is until the start of 2032, while all other IMO markets are until the end of the year they mention?

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Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?

+5% 1d84% chance

Will an AI get silver on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?

Will an AI get bronze on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?

Will the AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize be won before 2026?

Will there be 2 or more combinatorics problems on IMO 2025 x Will AI get a gold medal on IMO 2025?

Will an AI get at least silver on International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) by end of 2025?

When will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize?

Will AI get at least bronze on the International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) before 2026?

Related questions

Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?

Will an AI get silver on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?

Will an AI get bronze on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?

Will the AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize be won before 2026?

Will there be 2 or more combinatorics problems on IMO 2025 x Will AI get a gold medal on IMO 2025?

Will an AI get at least silver on International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) by end of 2025?

When will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize?

Will AI get at least bronze on the International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) before 2026?

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