When will an open-sourced AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad? | Manifold

When will an open-sourced AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?

67

13kṀ110k

2046

2,027

expected

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

The description and resolution criteria correspond to those of the equivalent question on Metaculus: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6728/ai-wins-imo-gold-medal/

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bought Ṁ31 YES

I'd appreciate it if you add "open source" to the title. I made some large bets not realizing that part of the metaculus question.

@mods this is probably within your powers

bruh same

How does this resolve if it happens later than 2045?

@Nat 2045.

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