When will an open-sourced AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?
69
Ṁ13kṀ110k
2046
2,027
expected

The description and resolution criteria correspond to those of the equivalent question on Metaculus: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6728/ai-wins-imo-gold-medal/

Market context
AI Math
AI
Technical AI Timelines
IMO Grand Challenge
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Sort by:
bought Ṁ31 YES

I'd appreciate it if you add "open source" to the title. I made some large bets not realizing that part of the metaculus question.

@mods this is probably within your powers

bruh same

How does this resolve if it happens later than 2045?

@Nat 2045.

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy