
When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?
61
13kṀ22k2046
2,027
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The description and resolution criteria correspond to those of the equivalent question on Metaculus: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6728/ai-wins-imo-gold-medal/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2026?
90% chance
Will an AI get bronze on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
93% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
80% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
84% chance
Will Fermat's last theorem be formalized before AI gets IMO gold?
12% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?
87% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2029?
91% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032?
91% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad before 2027?
90% chance
Will an AI get silver on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
84% chance