Will an AI get silver on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
Basic
21
Ṁ8262026
79%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market, but silver instead of gold criteria:
Getting gold would mean this market resolves YES, as an AI capable of getting above silver could also get silver.
Wikipedia's description of scoring:
The participants are ranked based on their individual scores. Medals are awarded to the highest ranked participants; slightly fewer than half of them receive a medal. The cutoffs (minimum scores required to receive a gold, silver, or bronze medal respectively) are then chosen so that the numbers of gold, silver and bronze medals awarded are approximately in the ratios 1:2:3. Participants who do not win a medal but who score 7 points on at least one problem receive an honorable mention.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
69% chance
Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by end of 2025?
80% chance
Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
48% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2025?
5% chance
Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
85% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?
79% chance
Will an AI get at least silver on International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) by end of 2025?
78% chance
Will an AI get bronze on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
84% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2026?
84% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
65% chance