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OpenAI

Sora: Creating video from text
trending
What will be true of OpenAI's Sora* model, at the end of 2025? [*see description]
72%
It will be the SOTA for text to video
58%
It can generate videos over 10 minutes long
56%
A second major version of the model has been released
15%
A third major version of the model has been released
See 43 more answers
#OpenAI
#AI
#Technical AI Timelines
trending
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?36% chance
#AI
#ACX
#Scott Alexander's 5 year predictions
trending
Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI video generation hold up in 2024?40% chance
#AI
#Technical AI Timelines
trending
Will OpenAI's video model Sora's capabilities be significantly less than the release post represented?18% chance
#Technology
#AI
trending
Will anyone manage to get OpenAI Sora to generate explicitly pornographic videos in the three months after release?47% chance
#pornography
#AI
#Technology
trending
Will this Yudkowsky tweet hold up?81% chance
#AI
Attention Required! | Cloudflare
resolved
Why did Andrej Karpathy leave OpenAI?
Resolved
YES
"Pursuing personal projects"
Resolved
YES
He left out of his own free will (If he could have stayed at OpenAI, he would not have chosen to do so)
Resolved
YES
He was rich enough to do so
Resolved
NO
Differences on AI Safety
See 42 more answers
#AI
#Technology
#OpenAI
trending
Will Ilya Sutskever still lead OpenAI’s Superalignment team at the end of 2024? [ACX 2024] 40% chance
#Metaculus
#ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
#OpenAI
trending
Where will Andrej Karpathy work next after OpenAI, before 2025?
32%
Founds a new company - Karpathy will found a company before officially joining any existing company.
20%
Unknown or Remains Unemployed - Karpathy will not officially join any other company before 2025
14%
Tesla/xAI/X/Anything Elon Controlled
12%
Other
See 12 more answers
#OpenAI Crisis
#Ilya Sutskever
#Sam Altman
trending
Will we know precisely why Andrej Karpathy left OpenAI by EOY 2024?27% chance
#OpenAI
#AI Regulation
#AI
trending
By when will we know where Karpathy will work next?
5%
May 1
36%
June 2024
78%
October 2024
88%
Jan 1 2025
See 6 more answers
#karpathy
#OpenAI
#Technology
resolved
Will Karpathy quit and lead the open-source AI community before April 2024?N/A
#AI
#OpenAI
#karpathy
trending
When will Ilya Sutskever tweet again?
0.6%
February
0.8%
March
4%
April
13%
May
See 4 more answers
trending
Where will Ilya Sutskever work next after OpenAI, before 2025?
59%
Never leaves - Ilya will work at OpenAI continuously until 2025
16%
OpenAI again - Ilya will officially leave OpenAI before 2025, but will then officially rejoin OpenAI without having officially joined any other company.
6%
Anthropic
4%
Other
See 8 more answers
#OpenAI Crisis
#Ilya Sutskever
#OpenAI
Sam Altman returns as CEO, OpenAI has a new initial board
Mira Murati as CTO, Greg Brockman returns as President. Read messages from CEO Sam Altman and board chair Bret Taylor.
trending
In a year, will we think that Sam Altman leaving OpenAI reduced AI risk?12% chance
#Technology
#Sam Altman
#AI Safety
trending
Was Ilya spooked by a capabilities advance?13% chance
#OpenAI
#Sam Altman
#AI
trending
Will OpenAI become a standard C Corp before 202722% chance
#OpenAI
#AI Regulation
#OpenAI Crisis
resolved
Why was Sam Altman fired?
Resolved
YES
Interpersonal squabbles not related to AI safety
Resolved
YES
Told one too many little fibs/frequently dishonest about minor decisions/pathological liar
Resolved
YES
The board caught him lying several times
Resolved
YES
Because Sam/OpenAI have been intentionally misleading the board
See 179 more answers
#OpenAI
#OpenAI Crisis
#New Year's Resolutions 2024
resolved
Who will be on OpenAI's board of directors on 1 Jan 2024?
Resolved
YES
Adam D'Angelo
Resolved
YES
Bret Taylor
Resolved
YES
Larry Summers
Resolved
NO
Ilya Sutskever
See 40 more answers
#Sam Altman
#OpenAI
#AI
resolved
Will OpenAI be valued more than $75 billion before the end of 2023?NO
#Technology
#OpenAI Crisis
#New Year's Resolutions 2024
reuters.com
AP News
OpenAI brings back Sam Altman as CEO just days after his firing unleashed chaos
The ousted leader of ChatGPT maker OpenAI, Sam Altman, will return to the company that fired him just days ago.
CNN
Sam Altman joins Microsoft as OpenAI names its third CEO in 3 days | CNN Business
Microsoft has hired Sam Altman to power up its artificial intelligence research efforts after the co-founder of OpenAI was ousted as CEO in a chaotic boardroom coup on Friday. Meanwhile, the ChatGPT company will get its third CEO in three days.
Attention Required! | Cloudflare
OpenAI announces leadership transition
Chief technology officer Mira Murati appointed interim CEO to lead OpenAI; Sam Altman departs the company. Search process underway to identify permanent successor.

OpenAI is a non-profit that owns a for profit. Their top value is as follows "We are committed to building safe, beneficial AGI that will have a massive positive impact on humanity's future".