Trump Jan 6th Trial
NPR
The charges facing Trump in the Jan. 6 investigation, explained
Trump was charged with conspiracy to defraud the United States, witness tampering, conspiracy against the rights of citizens, and obstruction of and attempt to obstruct an official proceeding.
50%
UNRESOLVED: Trial begun and ongoing, hung jury and new trial, etc through November 5th
31%Other
13%
GUILTY: Convicted / Guilty Plea / etc before November 5th
6%
NOT GUILTY: Acquitted / Charged Dropped / etc before November 5th
100%75%Other
4%
SCOTUS grants Trump's requested stay before March 1st
9%
SCOTUS denies Trump's requested stay before March 1st
12%
SCOTUS announces no decision on Trump's requested stay before March 1st
Just Security
How Long Will Trump’s Immunity Appeal Take? Analyzing the Alternative Timelines
Likely trial start dates for former president Trump in DC, now that the Circuit Court has ruled and the Supreme Court has yet to weigh in.
Plus
100%99.0%
Yes/Yes: Trump will be convicted of a felony before the election, and will win the election
0.8%
Yes/No: Trump will be convicted of a felony before the election, and will not win the election
0.1%
No/Yes: Trump will not be convicted of a felony before the election, and will win the election
0.0%
No/No: Trump will not be convicted of a felony before the election, and will not win the election
43%
Conspiracy to defraud the United States
35%
Conspiracy to obstruct an official proceeding
28%
Obstruction of and attempt to obstruct an official proceeding
13%
Conspiracy against rights
Federal prosecution of Donald Trump (election obstruction case) - Wikipedia
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