This market is about the Federal Case against Trump, in which he is charged with interfering with the election certification on January 6th, 2021.
The trial was originally scheduled for March 4th, but was then postponed while trump appealed and claimed presidential immunity. Other markets currently expect that the trial will begin before the election.
If the trial does not begin before November 5th, this market resolves N/A and all Mana will be returned to traders. If the trial does begin before the election, this market resolves to one of these options:
GUILTY: The jury finds Trump guilty on at least one charge, or Trump pleads guilty on least one charge, before November 5th.
NOT GUILTY: The jury finds Trump not guilty on all charges, the charges are all dismissed/dropped, or the trial concludes in some other way without a conviction before November 5th.
UNRESOLVED: The trial begins before the election, but on November 5th is still unresolved with no conviction. This includes situations in which there is a mistrial, such as due to a hung jury, has not yet been retried. It also includes situations in which the trial begins but then is put on hold but is expected to continue.
Other: A catch-all for unforeseen legal situations which do not fall into the other three categories. This should be very unlikely, but the option is present for unknown unknowns.
[Disclaimer: These rules should be considered to be in Draft Form until this disclaimer has been edited out of the description. The exact resolution criteria may be updated to better reflect the spirit of the question with the correct legal terminology. Please leave a comment below if you have any suggestions.]
You can find more information on the January 6th case at the following pages:
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