This market is about the federal case against Trump, which is generally considered to be the most serious of his legal troubles.

Trump is charged with one count of conspiracy to defraud the United States, one count of conspiracy to obstruct an official proceeding, one count of obstruction of and attempt to obstruct an official proceeding, and one count of conspiracy against rights.

As of market creation, other markets on Manifold currently expect that the trial is likely to begin before the election and that conviction is much more likely than acquittal.

If Trump is not convicted (found guilty or pleads guilty) on any of the charges in his January 6th case before election day this market resolves N/A. If he is convicted, then this market resolves Yes he is wins the presidential election and No if he does not win the presidential election.

The results of any of Trump's other cases are not relevant to this market's resolution, only the January 6th case. You can find more information on the January 6th dashboard.