Will Trump be convicted in federal court on any charge before the 2024 general election?
Nov 6

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nah, supreme court is republican.

@AlphaAbulikim show us your bet

bought Ṁ100 NO

@costlySignal okay to be fair why is this higher than the various felony markets

@Joshua This question is slightly more general, but you probably already noticed that. Why it’s higher: I think that one can sometimes plead guilty to a related misdemeanor as part of a deal with prosecutors to get felony charges dropped? Seems unlikely, but maybe a couple percent.

bought Ṁ10 of YES

bought Ṁ35 of YES

Special Counsel only expects trial in DC to take 4-6 weeks. So even a delay won’t stop this from happening most likely.

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