Trump's Federal Case about January 6th election interference will be rescheduled to begin in what month?
54
2.6kṀ11kresolved Feb 6
100%94%
No new trial date announced before 2025
0.1%
February
0.2%
March
0.2%
April
0.5%
May
1.0%
June
1.4%
July
1.5%
August
0.5%
September
0.4%
October
0.2%
November
0.2%
December
0.2%Other
This market is about the January 6th case against Trump, in which he is charged with interfering with the election certification in 2021.
The trial was originally scheduled for march 4th, but was then postponed while trump appealed and claimed presidential immunity. Now, the special council is urging the courts to let the case proceed to trial.
When a new trial start date is next announced, this market resolves to the month of that announced date.
If the case is postponed enough, additional months will be added for 2025. If no new trial date is even announced before 2025, this market resolves to "No new trial date announced before 2025".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.