Will Trump be convicted of a Felony before the presidential election, and will he win the election?
177
3.7kṀ51k
resolved Nov 7
100%99.0%
Yes/Yes: Trump will be convicted of a felony before the election, and will win the election
0.8%
Yes/No: Trump will be convicted of a felony before the election, and will not win the election
0.1%
No/Yes: Trump will not be convicted of a felony before the election, and will win the election
0.0%
No/No: Trump will not be convicted of a felony before the election, and will not win the election

2D Visualization:

Politico Article for Context:

It’s the go-to refrain for Democrats watching Joe Biden fall behind Donald Trump in polls: Just wait until Trump is convicted.

This market will resolve according to these two markets:

/mirrorbot/acx-2024-will-donald-trump-be-convi

/duck/will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-pres

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