Will Donald Trump be convicted of any felony crime by Election Day?
➕
Plus
71
Ṁ20k
resolved Jun 1
Resolved
YES

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00

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resolve please

@AndrewG does this resolve the same as the ACX question?

predictedNO

@Joshua yeah I guess so; this one seems relatively straightforward

predictedYES

@AndrewG Main edge cases are that it still counts if he pleads guilty or if he appeals. But yeah, pretty straightforward.

predictedNO

Yeah, I'll resolve as soon as conviction happens regardless of appeal, and I'll count guilty pleas as convictions.

predictedYES

@AndrewG Sounds good! Are you buying no based on the Georgia case news? I think this all swings on DC, personally

predictedNO

@Joshua I'm buying no on priors :P

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 50% order

@AndrewG Still feeling No here? I'm going full resistance lib, yes orders up.

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