Will Donald Trump be convicted of any felony crime by Election Day?
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Nov 6
72%
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bought Ṁ80 of YES

@AndrewG does this resolve the same as the ACX question?

predicts NO

@Joshua yeah I guess so; this one seems relatively straightforward

predicts YES

@AndrewG Main edge cases are that it still counts if he pleads guilty or if he appeals. But yeah, pretty straightforward.

predicts NO

Yeah, I'll resolve as soon as conviction happens regardless of appeal, and I'll count guilty pleas as convictions.

predicts YES

@AndrewG Sounds good! Are you buying no based on the Georgia case news? I think this all swings on DC, personally

predicts NO

@Joshua I'm buying no on priors :P

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 50% order

@AndrewG Still feeling No here? I'm going full resistance lib, yes orders up.

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