Will Donald Trump be convicted of a felony before the 2024 presidential election?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if, before November 5, 2024, any court in the United States convicts Donald Trump of committing a felony.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.

Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.