DGG

Destiny Dashboard

resolved

Will Destiny beat Eliezer in their debate?50%

resolved

Which Manifest attendee would I enjoy having a one-night stand with the most?

52%Other

23%

Destiny

13%

Eliezer Yudkowsky

2%

N/A

See 54 more answers

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WILL MERC OFF DA PERC STILL BE AN ORBITER AT THE START OF OCTOBER?NO

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Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft record before October 2023?NO

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Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2023?NO

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What will be the topic of the Destiny-Eliezer debate

70%74%Other

30%26%

AI doom

0.1%

Which one Aella should bang

0.1%

Other

resolved

Next good topic for Eliezer and Destiny

88%

Dogwarts

0.6%

Aella (sex related)

0.9%

Prediction market legalization

4%

Who should be president

See 3 more answers

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Will Scott Alexander, Aella, Destiny, and Robert Miles all attend Manifest 2023 (as some part of the official program)?

100%95%

No, Robert Miles won't

5%

Yes

0.0%

No, Scott Alexander won't

0.0%

No, Aella won't

See 2 more answers

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Will Eliezer and Destiny make a bet during their debate? If they do, who will win the bet?

100%99.0%

No bet

0.5%

Yes bet, Eliezer wins

0.3%

Yes bet, Destiny wins

0.2%Other

#Eliezer Yudkowsky

trending

Will Aella be romantically or sexually involved with Destiny by the end of 2024?7% chance

#Aella's Twitter Polls

trending

At Manifest 2023, what questions/prompts will produce useful/fun debate between Yudkowsky and Destiny on Saturday?Ṁ0 bounty

#Eliezer Yudkowsky

Ṁ0

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If Aella bangs Eliezer Yudkowsky before Tuesday, will she really enjoy it?N/A

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Will Eliezer and Destiny agree at the end of the debate?NO

#Eliezer Yudkowsky

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By October 15th will Vaush have pledged to join/support destiny's canvassing efforts?NO

resolved

Which Team scores the Most Goals on Premier League Gameday 6?

100%99.9%

Newcastle United

0.0%

Manchester City

0.0%

Brighton

0.0%

Liverpool

See 16 more answers

trending

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking?62% chance

resolved

If Destiny and Eliezer place any bets during their debate at Manifest, will Destiny win?N/A

#Meta-Forecasting

#Predictions on Predictions

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Will Destiny create a Manifold account during Manifest?NO

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Will destiny reach 712k subscribers in September?NO

trending

Will average IQ drop by 15 points in 75 years the US?9% chance

resolved

Will Destiny beat Eliezer in their debate?50%

resolved

WILL MERC OFF DA PERC STILL BE AN ORBITER AT THE START OF OCTOBER?NO