Betting yes since I would expect Aella to be more likely to report if she enjoyed it, and for Eliezer not to request to keep it private if he thinks she enjoyed it.

I will be mildly surprised if this resolves NO, and not that much surprised with YES or N/A, while the actual odds of YES are probably not very high.

Taking a new position and putting in some liquidity, if you know what I mean

@EliezerYudkowsky Did you do that just to make the joke?

78% seems high for what I model as being Aella's base rate! I don't think I can do five independent things as difficult as "have sex with Aella and have her enjoy it on the first try" and succeed at four of them.

Me to Eliezer: "I dunno, I really enjoyed the first time we had sex... but on the other hand it was the worst sex we ever had."