WILL MERC OFF DA PERC STILL BE AN ORBITER AT THE START OF OCTOBER?
228
3.9K
1.9K
resolved Sep 26
Resolved
NO

MERC IS ANNOYING, CRINGE, AND DUMB ASF. DO YOU THINK SHE WILL STILL BE AN ORBITER AT THE START OF OCTOBER?

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predicted YES

Can't believe this sp-ed robbed us

predicted YES

hey @jime88f it's not October yet dumbfuck

predicted NO

destiny said in chat she no longer has discord perms and isnt interested in being on stream (wants to do her own thing)

predicted YES

@jime88f i thought this site was about making assumptions on future events, not on your resolving criterias

@orin shouldn't thus have been resolved in October since she could potentially come back?

predicted YES

@Thunderstar yes, thats what im saying

predicted YES

@jime88f means nothing

What's the news on this one?

predicted NO

@Thunderstar destiny said in chat she no longer has discord perms and isnt interested in being on stream (wants to do her own thing)

@jime88f let's fuckig goooo

predicted YES

@jime88f Still should have waited till October 1st to resolve.

Huh?

predicted YES

desTiny will be too busy with travel for Percocet to affect him in any meaningful way sadly.

predicted NO

Ngl kinda annoying cringe and dumb for @jime88f not to post resolving criteria or engage with the comments

bought Ṁ200 of NO

She hasnt been on stream since she unfriended Destiny. Destiny will now be travelling untill the end of the month, so hard to see her coming back/have a possibility of coming back before this market closes. Hard to see this more than 10% chance to be back in the orbit by the end of the month, but dont personally have the funds 🤷‍♂️.

@Dennis5a87 on her stream yesterday with chaery, she said they they are cool again. she flashed her discord dms a few times, and u can see that she's still in talks with destiny. she said on stream, people call her an orbiter, she said she isnt an orbiter, and she also said whatever it doesnt even matter.

I think she even said the same in the talk with nosoerudite a few days ago

so what does that even mean??? lol. plus no resolving conditions for this market

predicted NO

@higherLEVELING True, there are no resolving conditions for this market.
Let's compare this to the Ana situation if you will. Destiny was still sexting her for a year on the down low for his reasons. During that time period, would you consider her an orbiter?

@MagniorBjornsson during that time period, when she would have streams that would end up being her arguing with her mods and would be mainly focused on destiny with people coming onto her stream talking about destiny and the dgg universe? uh. yeah id say she was.

@MagniorBjornsson it seems like without a concrete definition or resolving condition, this is just too vague

predicted NO

@higherLEVELING I agree that it's vague but I don't think it's too vague.
I believe orbiter implies more direct and open interaction with the Dman.
Hasan is never defined as a current orbiter. Neither is Vaush. Zherka is not currently an orbiter and neither is Fuentes. During that Ana time period it's more debatable. Because while D did not have her on stream and had a policy against dealing with her he broke that repeatedly and also was actively trying to understand and help with her situation towards the end. Ana is the edge case. I highly doubt Merc will reach a similar edge.

@MagniorBjornsson is aba an orbiter?

predicted NO

aba regularly talks with tiny and didn't ragequit the discord

@jacksonpolack so is he an orbiter?

predicted NO

i don't think there are fundamental meanings to individual words, it's all just relations, and usually contextual relations when we're discussing specific things. In a normal context of purposeful language use, I'd accept both calling aba an orbiter in the context of destiny's social scene and calling him a non-orbiter because he has his own show and platform. Just like an acquaintance might or might not be a 'friend' in a conversation depending on the threshold of intimacy the situation requires, there's no absolute level or list of friends. But prediction markets untether words from aforementioned uses into a pure competition, so I don't think there's an answer to that.

@jacksonpolack so ur saying that it's both a yes and a no and a maybe.. 😵😵😵

predicted NO

How tall does a plant have to be before it's a tree?

I think merc is not an orbiter as things stand.

@jacksonpolack the tall-ness of a plant isnt what determines if its a tree

predicted NO

what does?

predicted NO

from wikipedia:

In botany, a tree is a perennial plant with an elongated stem, or trunk, usually supporting branches and leaves. In some usages, the definition of a tree may be narrower, including only woody plants with secondary growth, plants that are usable as lumber or plants above a specified height. In wider definitions, the taller palms, tree ferns, bananas, and bamboos are also trees.

Trees are not a monophyletic taxonomic group but consist of a wide variety of plant species that have independently evolved a trunk and branches as a way to tower above other plants to compete for sunlight. The majority of tree species are angiosperms or hardwoods; of the rest, many are gymnosperms or softwoods. Trees tend to be long-lived, some reaching several thousand years old. Trees have been in existence for 370 million years. It is estimated that there are around three trillion mature trees in the world.

my specific point is that the definition depends on the usage, as we see here.

@jacksonpolack im not a tree expert, i just think it's going to get messy if there arent any concrete defintions. i see what you mean, i just think it's going to be super annoying for everyone to assume that there are no real definitions out there.

predicted NO

i'd be fine with 'is she in the discord' or 'does she do content with destiny another time before the end of the month'

predicted YES

@jacksonpolack Although the definition of an orbiter might be a bit loose I think as long as there is any contact between the two I think this pretty much resolves YES. We've got people who come around on stream once in three months that are still referred to as orbiters.