Will average IQ drop by 15 points in 75 years the US?
9
170Ṁ544
2099
9%
chance

Science
Spicyfest
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

they intermittently renormalize iq tests to where 100 is the average. so no

predictedNO

@brubsby I mean what the score change will be if they don’t remormalize the tests like the Flynn effect in reverse.

People are also trading

Will the average IQ/intelligence of manifold users in 2025 be lower than that of 2023?
69% chance
Will average IQ in developed countries drop 15 points or more by EOY 2098?
5% chance
Will the democracy score for the United States significantly decrease by the end of 2025?
82% chance
Will the average weight of Americans decrease between 2024 and 2025
61% chance
Will the USA's population ever drop below 100 million by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will there be an affordable non-invasive way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 25+ points before 2030?
6% chance
Will there be an affordable non-invasive way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 50+ points before 2030?
5% chance
Will there be a relatively safe way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 25+ points with under $200k before 2030?
9% chance
Will there be a survivable way to increase the IQ of an 18-28 y/o adult 25+ points with under $1 MM by the end of 2030?
8% chance
Will there be a relatively safe way to increase the IQ of an 18-28 y/o adult 25+ points with under $1 MM before 2030?
12% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy