OpenAI

61%
It will be the SOTA for text to video
50%
It can generate videos over 10 minutes long
69%
A second major version of the model has been released
13%
A third major version of the model has been released
Will this Yudkowsky tweet hold up?85% chance
Attention Required! | Cloudflare
Resolved
YES
"Pursuing personal projects"
Resolved
YES
He left out of his own free will (If he could have stayed at OpenAI, he would not have chosen to do so)
Resolved
YES
He was rich enough to do so
Resolved
NO
Differences on AI Safety
100%97%
Founds a new company - Karpathy will found a company before officially joining any existing company.
0.0%
OpenAI again - Karpathy will officially rejoin OpenAI without having officially joined any other company.
1.3%
Unknown or Remains Unemployed - Karpathy will not officially join any other company before 2025
0.1%
Anthropic
Resolved
NO
Feb 13
Resolved
NO
Feb 20
Resolved
NO
Mar 1
Resolved
NO
Apr 1
100%99.2%
May
0.0%
February
0.0%
March
0.0%
April
100%99.7%
A new company - Ilya will officially leave Open AI before 2025, and found a company before officially joining any existing company.
0.2%
Never leaves - Ilya will work at OpenAI continuously until 2025
0.0%
OpenAI again - Ilya will officially leave OpenAI before 2025, but will then officially rejoin OpenAI without having officially joined any other company.
0.0%
Remains Unemployed - Ilya will officially leave Open AI before 2025, and will not officially join any other company after that.
➕
Plus
Resolved
YES
Interpersonal squabbles not related to AI safety
Resolved
YES
Told one too many little fibs/frequently dishonest about minor decisions/pathological liar
Resolved
YES
The board caught him lying several times
Resolved
YES
Because Sam/OpenAI have been intentionally misleading the board
Resolved
YES
Adam D'Angelo
Resolved
YES
Bret Taylor
Resolved
YES
Larry Summers
Resolved
NO
Ilya Sutskever
reuters.com
AP News
OpenAI brings back Sam Altman as CEO just days after his firing unleashed chaos
The ousted leader of ChatGPT maker OpenAI, Sam Altman, will return to the company that fired him just days ago.
CNN
Sam Altman joins Microsoft as OpenAI names its third CEO in 3 days | CNN Business
Microsoft has hired Sam Altman to power up its artificial intelligence research efforts after the co-founder of OpenAI was ousted as CEO in a chaotic boardroom coup on Friday. Meanwhile, the ChatGPT company will get its third CEO in three days.
Attention Required! | Cloudflare

OpenAI is a non-profit that owns a for profit. Their top value is as follows "We are committed to building safe, beneficial AGI that will have a massive positive impact on humanity's future".

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