What will Trump's first executive order be about?
➕
Plus
45
Ṁ3325
Feb 1
79%
Immigration/The Border
4%
Other
4%
Foreign Policy
3%
Climate Change/The Environment
2%
Tariffs/Foreign Trade
1.8%
Pardons/January 6th
1.3%
Inflation/Economy
1%
LGBT Rights

Resolves based on my subjective opinion, to the most applicable option. If multiple options are clearly applicable (eg. "This order adds tariffs and withdraws the US from NATO", it resolves to the options equally). If you would like to add more options, feel free to suggest.

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Government/Regulations/Elections

The Department of Governmental Efficiency would fall under this answer

Foreign Policy

@Gabrielle does this include leaving WHO or Climate Process?

@ChrisMillsc5f7 If it was just about the WHO, it would be 50% healthcare, 50% foreign policy. Withdrawing from the Paris Agreement would be 100% Climate Change/The Environment (a new category).

bought Ṁ50 Immigration/The Border YES

It's not a perfect arb for a few reasons, but I think there might be something here: https://manifold.markets/Ziddletwix/will-trumps-first-executive-order-b

@Fion yes beyond "subjective judgment differs" b/w me & gabrielle i'd say the only real difference is that gabrielle's market could potentially spslit its resolutions between options if it's sufficiently broad so should probably trade a bit below mine

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