MANIFOLD
Browse
US Election
News
About
App
Sign in
Dark
Light
(auto)
Harris Trump Debate
US Congress
Trump
US Economy
Harris
AI Law - SB 1047
Biden
Middle East
Bitcoin
Taylor Swift
OpenAI
Elon/Tesla
Tim Walz
Sama Drama
JD Vance
AGI Timelines
AI Math
Nvidia
Twitter
ACX 2024
76th Emmy Awards
One Piece
Legal Weed
Music AI Race
Marbula One
Hard Forkasts
US Election '24
Andy Martin
Jack
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican nominee for president?
YES
218
Ṁ2k
BCG
Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2024?
YES
1956
Ṁ4.2k
Levi Bankman Finkelstein
Mini
Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2024?
YES
20
Ṁ230
Richard Shu
Will Donald Trump be the Republican presidential nominee for 2024?
YES
272
Ṁ1.6k
Krish Patel
Will Donald Trump be the republican nominee for the 2024 US presidential election?
YES
51
Ṁ1k
BCG
Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2024?
YES
1956
Ṁ4.2k
crystal ball
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
47%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
2727
Ṁ8.6k
Lars Doucet
Plus
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
46%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
865
Ṁ21k
Richard Shu
Will Donald Trump be the Republican presidential nominee for 2024?
YES
272
Ṁ1.6k
GENERAL ELECTION
I get down
Plus
Conditional on one of these people winning the US election, which will it be? [Trump/Biden/Newsom/RFK/Haley/Desantis]
95%
Donald Trump
Yes
No
Open options
3%
Joe Biden
Yes
No
Open options
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Yes
No
Open options
0.4%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
See 2 more answers
3231
Ṁ39k
Jack
Plus
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? [fewer options]
51%
Kamala Harris
Yes
No
Open options
48%
Donald Trump
Yes
No
Open options
0.4%
Someone else
Yes
No
Open options
0.3%
Joe Biden
Yes
No
Open options
See 7 more answers
2230
Ṁ23k
Jack
Crystal
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
53%
Kamala Harris
Yes
No
Open options
46%
Donald Trump
Yes
No
Open options
0.2%
Joe Biden
Yes
No
Open options
0.2%
Tim Walz
Yes
No
Open options
See 19 more answers
7507
Ṁ2.3m
FritzWills
Mini
Which of the following candidates will win the 2024 United States Presidential Election?
50%
Kamala Harris 🔵
Yes
No
Open options
47%
Donald Trump 🔴
Yes
No
Open options
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 🔵
Yes
No
Open options
0.9%
Joe Biden 🔵
Yes
No
Open options
See 34 more answers
71
Ṁ2.6k
Mr. B
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
53%
Kamala Harris
Yes
No
Open options
47%
Donald Trump
Yes
No
Open options
0.1%
Santa Claus
Yes
No
Open options
0.1%
Joe Biden
Yes
No
Open options
See 12 more answers
88
Ṁ2.1k
Lars Doucet
Plus
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
46%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
865
Ṁ21k
Ammon Lam
Will the Republican party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
45%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
77
Ṁ1k
Tripping
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 United States presidential election?
1%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
53
Ṁ1k
Lars Doucet
Plus
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
NO
5504
Ṁ50k
SG
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?
52%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
885
Ṁ4.2k
Ammon Lam
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US presidential election?
48%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
134
Ṁ1.2k
crystal ball
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
47%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
2727
Ṁ8.6k
PRIMARIES
Krish Patel
Will Donald Trump be the republican nominee for the 2024 US presidential election?
YES
51
Ṁ1k
Richard Shu
Will Donald Trump be the Republican presidential nominee for 2024?
YES
272
Ṁ1.6k
MISC INTEREST
BCG
Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2024?
YES
1956
Ṁ4.2k
CONGRESS
POST-ELECTION STABILITY
Browse
Election
News
About
Sign in