📈 US Border Migration

Will the google trend "Border" reach a new peak before the 2024 election?74% chance

#2024 US Presidential Election

Will a link between an adversarial foreign country and migrants coming to the US border be uncovered?24% chance

How many Chinese nationals will be encountered at US borders in 2024 in thousands? (Numeric market)85

Will a shot be fired as a result of the dispute between the US govt and Texas over border razor wire?3% chance

Will Texas Allow Border Patrol To Tear Down The Razor Wire At Eagle Pass By The End Of 2024?65% chance

#US immigration

🇲🇽 🇺🇸 Will US Border Control detain more people trying to cross the US-Mexico border in 2024 than in 2023?81% chance

#Southern border

Will there be a terrorist attack on US carried out by illegal alien(s) in 2024? 17% chance

Will a terror attack conducted by US-Mexico border crossers occur in the United States in 2024?7% chance

Discourse 2024: More illegal migrants crowd the U.S.’s southern border?80% chance

If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?35% chance

#2024 US Presidential Election

If Biden wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?45% chance

#2024 US Presidential Election

Will Biden issue at least one executive order to tighten the border?17% chance

#US immigration

Will Congressional Democrats reach a border deal with Republicans before the 2024 election?19% chance

#2024 US Presidential Election

#Republican Party

In 2025-26, what percentage of US Republicans will prioritize increased security along the US-Mexico border?72% chance

🇨🇦 🇺🇸 How many encounters at the US-Canada border in 2024?

32%

Fewer than last year (<189,402)

45%

Fewer than 1/10th at the US-Mexico border last year (189,402 - 247,566)

22%

>= 247,567

#Southern border

If Trump wins, will undocumented immigration go down? (Southern Border)79% chance

#2024 US Presidential Election

How many US governors will publicly support Greg Abbott superseding federal authorities at the Southern border?

100%96%

>12

0.8%

<4

3%

4-6

0.5%

7-9

See 1 more answer

#US immigration

#Southern border

The unprecedented situation at the US-Mexico border – visualized

What is behind the surge of people trying to cross the border and what dangers do they face? A visual explainer

Live updates: Biden, Trump visit US-Mexico border in reelection effort

President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are both visiting the US-Mexico border Thursday as they continue to march toward a likely rematch in November. Follow here for the latest live news updates.

🇲🇽 🇺🇸 Will US Border Control detain more people trying to cross the US-Mexico border February than in January?YES

#2024 US Presidential Election

#Southern border

Will any person be held in jail by end of March 2024 for violation of Texas SB4 and refusing to return to Mexico?NO

[Metaculus] Will President Biden issue an executive order on immigration before the State of the Union on March 7, 2024?NO

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