📈 US Border Migration

America’s misunderstood border crisis, in 8 charts

How many migrants are crossing the border? Who are they? And why is the immigration system so broken?

The unprecedented situation at the US-Mexico border – visualized

What is behind the surge of people trying to cross the border and what dangers do they face? A visual explainer

240

Will the google trend "Border" reach a new peak before the 2024 election?NO

190

Will a link between an adversarial foreign country and migrants coming to the US border be uncovered?24% chance

160

How many Chinese nationals will be encountered at US borders in 2024 in thousands? (Numeric market)79

1k

Will a shot be fired as a result of the dispute between the US govt and Texas over border razor wire?NO

110

Will Texas Allow Border Patrol To Tear Down The Razor Wire At Eagle Pass By The End Of 2024?24% chance

1k

Will US Border Control detain more people trying to cross the US-Mexico border in 2024 than in 2023?NO

230

Will there be a terrorist attack on US carried out by illegal alien(s) in 2024?NO

1k

Will a terror attack conducted by US-Mexico border crossers occur in the United States in 2024?YES

70

Discourse 2024: More illegal migrants crowd the U.S.’s southern border?YES

1k

If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?7% chance

240

If Biden wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?N/A

1k

Will Biden issue at least one executive order to tighten the border?YES

1k

Will Congressional Democrats reach a border deal with Republicans before the 2024 election?NO

110

In 2025-26, what percentage of US Republicans will prioritize increased security along the US-Mexico border?72% chance

1k

How many encounters at the US-Canada border in 2024?

100%98.8%

More than last year but fewer than 1/10th at the US-Mexico border last year (189,402 - 247,566)

0.8%

Fewer than last year (<189,402)

0.4%

A lot more than last year (>= 247,567)

7.2k

If Trump wins, will undocumented immigration go down? (Southern Border)96% chance

Live updates: Biden, Trump visit US-Mexico border in reelection effort | CNN Politics

President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are both visiting the US-Mexico border Thursday as they continue to march toward a likely rematch in November. Follow here for the latest live news updates.

465

How many US governors will publicly support Greg Abbott superseding federal authorities at the Southern border?

100%96%

>12

0.8%

<4

3%

4-6

0.5%

7-9

See 1 more answer

370

Will US Border Control detain more people trying to cross the US-Mexico border February than in January?YES

1.7k

Will any person be held in jail by end of March 2024 for violation of Texas SB4 and refusing to return to Mexico?NO

590

[Metaculus] Will President Biden issue an executive order on immigration before the State of the Union on March 7, 2024?NO

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