MANIFOLD
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ How many encounters at the US-Canada border in 2024?
9
αΉ€1kαΉ€6.2k
resolved Oct 24
100%98.8%
More than last year but fewer than 1/10th at the US-Mexico border last year (189,402 - 247,566)
0.8%
Fewer than last year (<189,402)
0.4%
A lot more than last year (>= 247,567)
Market context
US Politics
Canada
Southern border
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198,929

reposted

Upgraded this from Basic even though it hasn't been popular because I like it--it gets at some interesting facets of the illegal border crossings debates.

Moving the close date to Oct 1 to reflect that this market has always been based on numbers for the 2023 and 2024 fiscal years.

reposted

The numbers for 2024 (orange) have been trending incredibly close to the numbers from 2023 (navy), but just recently dipped below...

Is 26% the right odds for FEWER migrants apprehended through Canada than last year? Or should those odds be higher? Β―\_(ツ)_/Β―

Total for the first half of 2024: 144,969

New Hampshire governor made an agreement with Quebec to share resources when policing the US-Canadian border, since crossings are up just as federal resources are shifting to the southern border: https://youtu.be/W72V0kd-pXU?si=Mnjqzm4GuRast1QC

reposted

As of April, 108,155 encounters, tracking higher than last year for every month so far this year.

Updating the title to reflect that β€œan encounter” is different from a person.

https://www.wral.com/story/fact-check-are-illegal-crossings-up-800-along-the-northern-u-s-border/21314701/

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