🦠 Infectious disease epidemiology

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Plus
Will an America die of H5N1 in 2024?40% chance
40%
Other
14%
No effective antivirals
45%
Oseltamivir
0.7%
Peramivir
6%
Before September 1st, 2024
65%
Before December 31st, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before April 1st, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before June 1st, 2024
6%
Before September 1st, 2024
65%
Before December 31st, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before April 1st, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before June 1st, 2024
0.1%
50 or fewer
3%
51-250
95%
251-500
0.9%
501-750
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Plus
Was COVID a "mass disabling event"?85% chance
4%
2025 or earlier
2%
2026
2%
2027
10%
2028
76%
2060
48%
2050
41%
2040
37%
2045
60%
Polio
2%
Yaws
32%
Guinea worm
3%
Malaria
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