🦠 Infectious disease epidemiology

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Plus
Will an America die of H5N1 in 2024?26% chance
29%
Other
22%
No effective antivirals
41%
Oseltamivir
4%
Peramivir
6%
Before September 1st, 2024
50%
Before December 31st, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before April 1st, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before June 1st, 2024
6%
Before September 1st, 2024
50%
Before December 31st, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before April 1st, 2024
Resolved
NO
Before June 1st, 2024
0.1%
50 or fewer
2%
51-250
83%
251-500
5%
501-750
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Plus
Was COVID a "mass disabling event"?85% chance
4%
2025 or earlier
2%
2026
2%
2027
10%
2028
66%
2060
48%
2050
37%
2045
21%
2040
60%
Polio
2%
Yaws
32%
Guinea worm
3%
Malaria
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