By when will Malaria be Eradicated?
34
1.5kṀ41232060
75%
2060
57%
2050
38%
2045
28%
2040
19%
2035
Each date resolves YES if Malaria has been declared eradicated by the WHO (or an equivalent declaration by an appropriate organization of similar status if N/A) before Jan 1st of that year.
With regards to ambiguity of resolution my intent with this market is: "the time at which there has been a period of no recent Malaria deaths and a reasonable expectation of no further deaths in future, as declared by an authoritative organisation" and I will seek the most objective way of defining that.
The WHO's declaration of Smallpox eradication in 1980 would be analogous.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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