What will be the total number of H5N1 human cases reported by the CDC in the US at the end of 2024? [0-200]
8
200Ṁ492
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
60-70

Resolve to [190-200] if the cases exceed 200.

As reported here: https://www.cdc.gov/flu/avianflu/avian-flu-summary.htm

Public Health
Infectious Disease
H5N1 Bird Flu
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Recommendation changed to increase testing

https://apnews.com/article/bird-flu-dairy-workers-h5n1-20d6a20ea9e1047ad7a92f9da31709f8

I don't think this will make a difference before 2025 but who knows

There's a lot of complaining by virologists that CDC & USDA are very much not doing good work (not testing much, not labelling data properly)

I fear this question will not properly reflect the seriousness of H5N1

reposted

We're at four cases

bought Ṁ0 YES

Credible rumors by virologists that there already plenty human cases occurring, eg Vincent Racaniello on TWiV

[This Week in Virology] TWiV 1108: Clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin #thisWeekInVirology https://podcastaddict.com/this-week-in-virology/episode/175220681 via @PodcastAddict

Clarifying that I will resolve with the number reported at the end of the year.
Estimates sometimes shift around a bit with some delay.

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