Will there be documented human-to-human transmission of H5N1 (bird flu) before 2026? | Manifold

Will there be documented human-to-human transmission of H5N1 (bird flu) before 2026?

🦠 Infectious disease epidemiology •Science•Medicine•Public Health•H5N1 Bird Flu

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Please clarify the resolution criteria. Does this require sustained transmission? What's the closing date? Jan 1st 2026, Dec 31st 2026?

@Siebe There just needs to be one proven case of transmission between humans. Closes Jan 1.

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