Will H5N1 have spread to multiple pig farms in 2024?
Basic
25
819
Dec 31
27%
Before April 1st, 2024
54%
Before June 1st, 2024
64%
Before September 1st, 2024
66%
Before December 31st, 2024

Will credible future reports claim that H5N1 was spreading in more than 1 pig farm, in any country, at the following dates?

Dates refer to when the virus was spreading, not when reports are published.

I will not bet in this market.

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This market is still completely off, given the 4th includes the previous 3

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