Will H5N1 have spread to multiple pig farms in 2024? | Manifold

Will H5N1 have spread to multiple pig farms in 2024?

🦠 Infectious disease epidemiology #Science #Public Health #H5N1 Bird Flu #Epidemiology

23

194

Ṁ596

Ṁ1.9K

Dec 31

1D

1W

1M

ALL

23%

Before April 1st, 2024

54%

Before June 1st, 2024

71%

Before September 1st, 2024

48%

Before December 31st, 2024

Will credible future reports claim that H5N1 was spreading in more than 1 pig farm, in any country, at the following dates?

Dates refer to when the virus was spreading, not when reports are published.

I will not bet in this market.

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Will the WHO declare an H5N1 pandemic before 2030?

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Will there be a large-scale bird flu outbreak in the US in 2024?

Will an America die of H5N1 in 2024?

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Will there be a large-scale bird flu outbreak in the US by the end of 2025?

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