Supposing H5N1 spreads to humans, which antiviral drug that exists today (Feb 2023) will prove most effective in preventing fatalities?
5
360Ṁ220resolved Jan 1
ResolvedN/A
40%Other
14%
No effective antivirals
45%
Oseltamivir
0.7%
Peramivir
0.8%
zanamivir
Resolves N/A if there are no confirmed human cases of human-to-human transmission by the end of 2023, or if no antivirals have been tested by the end of 2024. Antivirals used prophylactially will count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
If H5N1 pandemic occurs by 2026, what will be the confirmed case fatality rate for humans in first 3 months?
H5N1 virus acquires human-to-human easy transmission capability by June 1st, 2027
20% chance
Will there be documented human-to-human transmission of H5N1 (bird flu) before 2026?
12% chance
What percent of 100M people will die from H5N1 by end of 2025?
3% chance
H5N1 pandemic occurs before 2026, and the case fatality rate is <5%
13% chance
By the end of 2025, will H5N1 Bird Flu have evolved to the point where the CDC declares it a global pandemic for humans?
4% chance
How many H5N1 bird flu human cases will be confirmed in the US in 2025?
Will the WHO declare H5N1 a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in 2025?
15% chance
Will the WHO declare an H5N1 pandemic before 2030?
21% chance
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern for H5N1 before 2030?
58% chance