Supposing H5N1 spreads to humans, which antiviral drug that exists today (Feb 2023) will prove most effective in preventing fatalities? | Manifold

Supposing H5N1 spreads to humans, which antiviral drug that exists today (Feb 2023) will prove most effective in preventing fatalities?

H5N1 Bird Flu•Pandemic

4

23

Ṁ185

2025

1D

1W

1M

ALL

22%

No effective antivirals

41%

Oseltamivir

4%

Peramivir

4%

zanamivir

Resolves N/A if there are no confirmed human cases of human-to-human transmission by the end of 2023, or if no antivirals have been tested by the end of 2024. Antivirals used prophylactially will count.

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There needs to be both human cases and human to human transmission for this question to be activated. There have already been approximately 10 cases of H5N1 in humans in the last 15 months. Human to human transmission is a major evolutionary leap but certainly not out of the cards.

@BTE No one has bet yet so I will modify the description.

answered

Oseltamivir

bought Ṁ10

@SG aka Tamiflu

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