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🦠 Infectious disease epidemiology

Vox Future Perfect 2024: More than 20 million poultry birds will be culled due to bird flu?66% chance
#Inflation
Will H5N1 have spread to multiple pig farms in 2024?
23%
Before April 1st, 2024
54%
Before June 1st, 2024
71%
Before September 1st, 2024
48%
Before December 31st, 2024
#Epidemiology
#H5N1 Bird Flu
#Public Health
Will there be documented human-to-human transmission of H5N1 (bird flu) before 2026?52% chance
#Science
#Medicine
#Public Health
If the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern for H5N1, will they declare an H5N1 pandemic within a year?45% chance
#H5N1 Bird Flu
What will be the total number of H5N1 human cases reported by the CDC in the US at the end of 2024? [0-200]73
#H5N1 Bird Flu
#Public Health
#Infectious Disease
Will we find conclusive evidence of ongoing cow-to-cow H5N1 transmission this year?85% chance
#Public Health
#Epidemiology
How many cases of measles will the CDC report in the US in 2024?
0.1%
50 or fewer
22%
51-250
33%
251-500
28%
501-750
See 3 more answers
#Science
#Life Sciences
#Vaccines
Will there be a large-scale bird flu outbreak in the US in 2024?26% chance
#COVID
#Public Health
#United States
Will an emerging infectious disease be the top BBC Health item on Jan 1, 2025?13% chance
#COVID
#Public Health
#Pandemic
Will the mutated version of GX/2017, GX_P2V(short_3UTR), related to the COVID-19 virus, infect a human before 2025?9% chance
#COVID
Was COVID a "mass disabling event"?81% chance
#Science
#COVID
#Public Health
Will there be another Pandemic outbreak declared before 2024 US Elections?17% chance
#2024 US Presidential Election
#US Politics
#World
When will tuberculosis kill less than 1 million people a year?
4%
2025 or earlier
2%
2026
2%
2027
10%
2028
See 3 more answers
#Health
#Public Health
#Subsidy Spotlight
By when will Malaria be Eradicated?
66%
2060
48%
2050
37%
2045
21%
2040
See 1 more answer
#Public Health
#Science
Which disease will be eradicated next in humans?
78%
Polio
2%
Yaws
14%
Guinea worm
3%
Malaria
See 1 more answer
What will be the cause of the next declared WHO "global health emergency"?
#World
#Medicine
#Medicine
Will a vaccine for Lyme disease be available to the US public by the end of 2025?46% chance
#Science
#Outdoors
#Medicine
Will the VLA15 Lyme Disease vaccine "pass" its phase 3 human trial?58% chance
#Science
#Medicine
#Ancient Markets
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against Lyme disease before 2028?26% chance
#Medicine
#Health
Will the WHO declare another Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2025?24% chance
#World
#Medicine
#Medicine
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