Nominations

Premium

Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?NO

Plus

Who will win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?

98%

Kamala Harris

1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

0.5%

A Candidate Not Listed Here

0.2%

Joe Biden

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Premium

Who will be the Democratic Party presidential nominee?

98%

Kamala Harris

0.5%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

0.4%

Hillary Clinton

0.3%

Other

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Now that Joe Biden has begun running for the 2024 Democratic Nomination, will he be the nominee?1% chance

(When) will Biden drop out of the 2024 presidential race?

100%98%

Between Super Tuesday and Dem Convention

0.0%

Before first Dem primary

0.1%

Between first Dem primary and Super Tuesday

0.4%

Between Dem Convention and Election Day

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Mini

Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?NO

Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2024?YES

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Who will win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? [Top 6 candidates, new market style]

100%99.0%

Donald Trump

0.1%

Ron DeSantis

0.0%

Tim Scott

0.4%

Nikki Haley

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Will Donald Trump be the republican nominee for the 2024 US presidential election?93% chance

When will Donald Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?

100%99.4%

March 2024

0.0%

January 2024

0.3%

February 2024

0.1%

April 2024

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Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican nominee for president?YES

Will Donald Trump be the Republican presidential nominee for 2024?YES