(When) will Biden drop out of the 2024 presidential race?
#2024 US Presidential Election#Joe Biden#2024 US Election#2024 Primaries
37
355
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Nov 6
0.5%
Before first Dem primary
0.7%
Between first Dem primary and Super Tuesday
3%
Between Super Tuesday and Dem Convention
3%
Between Dem Convention and Election Day
93%
Remains in race through Election Day

Drop out = Officially abandoning his campaign for reelection for any reason.

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If it's during convention, how would this resolve?

@AnonUser Would probably resolve it 50/50

I made a question to separate out that 91% chance a bit further, eg will he make it to inauguration?

/MartinRandall/when-will-biden-drop-out

Does death count as dropping out?

bought แน€100 of Remains in race thro... YES

@mariopasquato For this market yes

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