Resolves N/A if he announces that he's not running (UPDATE: since he has announced that he is running this market will not resolve N/A based on this clause). Otherwise resolves based on who is nominated at the 2024 DNC.

Technically the following two markets should tell us the implied odds for this market:

(as of market creation 0.74/0.79 ≈ 0.93)

However, since the implied odds have fluctuated substantially, I'm creating a separate market which should (in theory) be more stable.

See Also: