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OpenAI
Deepseek
Israel Ceasefire
TikTok Ban
LA Fire
Oscars 2025
H5N1
Trump
Cabinet
Nintendo Switch 2
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Hard Forkcasts 2025
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Trump Indictment
Manifold
Martin Randall
21k
When will Trump serve time?
94%
Never
Yes
No
Open options
0%
2023 (NO)
Yes
No
Open options
0.1%
2024
Yes
No
Open options
0.4%
2025
Yes
No
Open options
See 6 more answers
2523
Ṁ21k
reuters.com
Martin Randall
3.3k
Will any state disqualify Trump from the 2024 primaries?
NO
430
Ṁ3275
Just a moment...
Olivia🏳️⚧️
2.4k
Will Donald Trump be convicted of any crime in any jurisdiction by the end of 2023?
NO
505
Ṁ2440
NBC News
Federal judge sets Trump trial date in election interference case
Judge Tonya Chutkan will hear arguments from Trump's lawyers and federal prosecutors on whether the trial should begin before or after the 2024 election.
BCG
4.2k
Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2024?
YES
1956
Ṁ4199
Jack
1.9k
Will a Trump mugshot be available by September 1?
YES
517
Ṁ1950
BennyBoy
1.1k
Will one of the 18 indicted co-conspirators flip in the Georgia trump election interference case by end of 2023?
YES
55
Ṁ1070
Brian T. Edwards
1.6k
Will Trump be indicted by three or more states by the end of 2023?
NO
97
Ṁ1635
PC
12k
Who will win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? [Top 6 candidates, new market style]
100%
99.0%
Donald Trump
Open options
0.1%
Ron DeSantis
Open options
0.0%
Tim Scott
Open options
0.4%
Nikki Haley
Open options
See 3 more answers
1048
Ṁ12k
Jonathan Boswell
3.4k
Is Trump more likely to spend 1 night in jail or 1 day as President in the Oval Office again?
100%
99.0%
Oval Office
Open options
0.6%
Jail
Open options
0.4%
Neither
Open options
241
Ṁ3447
johnleoks
2.1k
Will there be large scale protests (>1000 ppl) in New York as a result of Trump's arrest or indictment in 2023?
NO
131
Ṁ2085
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