Will Donald Trump be convicted of any crime in any jurisdiction by the end of 2023?
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For clarity, this will resolve several weeks into the new year, just in case
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BRTDbought Ṁ50 of NO
the odds of getting a trial for him done by the end of 2023 are near zero. Indicted is very likely though.

Brian T. Edwardsbought Ṁ0 of YES
@BRTD There could be a deal that has him plead guilty to avoid jail or something like that.

Brian T. Edwardsis predicting YES at 40%
@BRTD Also, Fulton County is going to move a lot faster than any federal case would.
Mason Maternowskibought Ṁ10 of NO
My suspicion is that the Trump Foundation may be found guilty of some charges, but Donald Trump himself probably won't.

Oliviais predicting YES at 49%
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YES payouts
Ṁ11,704
Ṁ522
Ṁ136
Ṁ131
Ṁ114
Ṁ99
Ṁ76
Ṁ66
Ṁ57
Ṁ50
Ṁ21
Ṁ20
Ṁ19
Ṁ19
NO payouts
Ṁ6,433
Ṁ2,341
Ṁ1,514
Ṁ796
Ṁ535
Ṁ223
Ṁ190
Ṁ156
Ṁ123
Ṁ121
Ṁ77
Ṁ68
Ṁ51
Ṁ33
Ṁ31
Ṁ27






























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