Resolves the same as https://polymarket.com/event/trump-mugshot-by
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official mugshot of ex-president Donald John Trump taken after July 31 is made widely available to the public by September 1, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official mugshot of Donald Trump becomes widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, etc.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the government.
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I think it’s safe to resolve now :) https://x.com/realdonaldtrump/status/1694886846050771321?s=46&t=mHnbuzR1hopz29-xhd40ww
@Blomfilter It's Ludacris if he isn't an Outkast in the Future. If Rich Homie is, I'm sure he Gunna cry like a Lil Baby. OK, Yeeeaaa. FT Lil Jon 😂
You can add Vivek R. to the tracks: https://twitter.com/EdKrassen/status/1690404294250401793
https://twitter.com/oregonmapguy/status/1694866966694031746?s=46&t=U_-ytmnPcSdlCJ-QknefTg
Fascinating that this guy on Twitter had the unwatermarked version like 20 min before CNN
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NBC is also reporting the same photo as CNN: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/live-blog/trump-arraignment-georgia-indictment-live-updates-rcna100652
@gigab0nus Some insider took a picture with their phone of a screen with the original, not yet cropped, and not yet watermarked version of the mugshot? That's one explanation that could still make this the real mugshot.
@JamesColiar Oh but cropping would not work. There is definitely a white wall on the older one where there is a badge on the newer one.
Yeah I agree it might be the right one, but why resolve in a hurry?
I agree. Trading should be halted, but OP should probably wait a bit before resolving.
@gigab0nus I meant one might be an official mugshot the other not (a photo of the mugshot on a computer or the like)
Oh but cropping would not work. There is definitely a white wall on the older one where there is a badge on the newer one.
The non-watermarked picture would be the original, full-size picture. The watermarked picture would be one that has been shopped to be cropped to a 1:1 aspect ratio, and feature a watermark.
Ok I'll give it an hour and see if there are any updates. In the last few days, BBC misreported a live update on Prigozhin and edited it half an hour later. The fact that both CNN and NBC report it as official makes this pretty unlikely but we can wait. There is no need to halt trading. People can continue to predict whether CNN and NBC made a mistake.
There is no need to halt trading. People can continue to predict whether CNN and NBC made a mistake.
Yeah, you're right. The halting makes no sense. I take that back.