Trump Trial

Hush money trial judge raises threat of jail as he finds Trump violated gag order, fines him $9K

Donald Trump has been held in contempt of court and fined $9,000 for repeatedly violating a gag order that barred him from making public statements about witnesses, jurors and some others connected to his New York hush money case.

Will Trump be sent to prison for violating a gag order?17% chance

Highlights from Day 1 of Trump’s hush money trial during jury selection

Latest news and updates on Trump's hush money trial, with jury selection beginning today. Witnesses included Stormy Daniels and Michael Cohen.

Will Donald Trump be convicted of a felony before the 2024 presidential election? [ACX 2024]72% chance

#2024 US Presidential Election

How will Donald Trump's Stormy Daniels/Hush Money felony trial end?

74%

Guilty (of at least one crime) by jury verdict

19%

Mistrial (without any guilty counts)

4%

Not guilty (on all counts) by jury verdict

2%

Plea bargain

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#Trial of the Century

When will Trump’s Hush Money trial end?

46%

By the end of May [May 31st]

59%

By the end of National Donald Duck Day [June 9th]

85%

By the end of Spring [June 20th]

96%

By Independence Day [July 4th]

#2024 US Presidential Election

What will happen in the courtroom during Trump's Manhattan trial? [ADD ANSWERS]

96%

The judge will allow Trump to attend Barron's graduation on May 17

95%

A Trump tweet will be presented as evidence by the prosecution

90%

Social media posts of any witness will be shared during cross-examination

78%

Joe Biden will be mentioned

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#Trump indictment(s)

Will any of the Trump Hush Money trial jurors have their identities leaked during the trial?68% chance

Which of Trump's 12 Jurors will leave the Jury next?

61%

None of the 12 jurors leave.

17%

Juror 2: A man who works in investment banking and lives in Hell's Kitchen. Follows Trump, Michael Cohen and Kellyanne Conway on social media. Believes Trump has done some good for the country, but that he can be an impartial juror.

7%

Juror 9: A woman who is a speech therapist, gets news from CNN and likes reality TV podcasts. Said “he was our president. Everyone knows who he is,” adding that when he was in office “everyone was kind of talking about politics."

4%

Juror 6: A young woman who lives in Chelsea and works as a software engineer. She gets news from The New York Times, Google, Facebook and TikTok. She said she probably has different beliefs than Mr. Trump, but that “this is a free country.”

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#Trump indictment(s)

Will Trump be convicted with a felony or misdemeanor by August 1, 2024?

74%

Felony

1.6%

Misdemeanor

25%

No judgment (acquittal, mistrial, delay)

#2024 US Presidential Election

A Complete Guide to the Manhattan Trump Election Interference Prosecution

A comprehensive guide on what to expect at Donald Trump's landmark criminal trial in Manhattan for his alleged falsification of business records and hush money arrangement in 2016 presidential election.

Will Donald Trump's Stormy Daniels/Hush Money felony trial conclude before Election Day 2024?90% chance

#US Congressional Elections 2024

#2024 US Presidential Election

Will Donald Trump be convicted of any crime by the end of 2024?82% chance

Breaking Down the Law: NY Trump Trial Charges and Theory of the Case

Journalist Adam Klasfeld explains how the alleged hush money scheme worked and how Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg got to 34 felony charges.Read the ...

Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024?76% chance

Judge Juan Merchan sets April 15 trial date for Trump hush money case

The judge presiding over Donald Trump's hush money case on Monday scheduled the trial to begin on April 15.

The presumptive Republican presidential nominee is facing 34 felony counts of falsifying New York business records in order to cover up a $130,000 hush money payment to adult film actress Stormy Daniels, who has said she had a sexual encounter with Trump. Trump has denied that claim.

Will Trump take the stand in his New York trial?20% chance

#Trial of the Century

Will Trump be convicted of a felony prior to the GOP Convention on July 18th, 2024?73% chance

#2024 US Presidential Election

Will Stormy Daniels testify in Trump’s hush money trial?80% chance

#Trial of the Century

Will Michael Cohen testify at Trump’s hush money trial?88% chance

#Trial of the Century

Will Trump be convicted of a Felony before the presidential election, and will he win the election?

29%

Yes/Yes: Trump will be convicted of a felony before the election, and will win the election

47%

Yes/No: Trump will be convicted of a felony before the election, and will not win the election

18%

No/Yes: Trump will not be convicted of a felony before the election, and will win the election

6%

No/No: Trump will not be convicted of a felony before the election, and will not win the election

#2024 US Presidential Election

Will Trump be convicted in his Manhattan case?77% chance

Will Trump be convicted of at least one of the NY charges?78% chance

#2024 US Presidential Election

Will Donald Trump be convicted of felony falsifying business records?85% chance

#Trump indictment(s)

Will Trump be found guilty of at least one of the 34 felony counts in the NY Stormy Daniels hush money trial?73% chance

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