Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2024?
Plus
46
Ṁ13kJan 1
1.3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Donald Trump spends any positive amount of time in prison while serving a sentence before the end of 2024. It doesn't count if he is held while awaiting trial or sentencing. House arrest also doesn't count, it must be an official prison. However, it DOES count if he is held in prison awaiting execution or similar.
Resolves NO otherwise
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
When will Trump serve time?
Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?
10% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before 2030?
18% chance
Will Trump spend any time in jail by the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2029?
13% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2028?
13% chance
Will Donald Trump spend any time in prison before 2030?
23% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2026?
10% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison time before 2026?
10% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2025?
7% chance