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Straight of Hormuz
Bill Clinton
Hillary Clinton
Ṁ1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? [Polymarket]
6%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
255
Ṁ1k
Hillary Clinton
Ṁ1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? [Polymarket]
31%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
125
Ṁ1k
Bill Clinton
Ṁ1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? [Polymarket]
23%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
19
Ṁ1k
Mana
Ṁ100
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30? [Polymarket]
94%
40+
Yes
No
Open options
57%
60+
Yes
No
Open options
14%
80+
Yes
No
Open options
10
Ṁ100
Skibiti Tea
Ṁ1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of July? [Polymarket]
54%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
35
Ṁ1k
Prediction Maxxing
Ṁ1k
More ships through Strait of Hormuz than goals at 2026 FIFA World Cup?
75%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
39
Ṁ1k
Hillary Clinton
Ṁ1k
Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
87%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
22
Ṁ1k
dfish
Ṁ1k
On June 28th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
98%
x ≥ 2
Yes
No
Open options
97%
x ≥ 4
Yes
No
Open options
96%
x ≥ 6
Yes
No
Open options
91%
x ≥ 8
Yes
No
Open options
See 3 more answers
19
Ṁ1k
Hillary Clinton
Ṁ1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? [Polymarket]
71%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
19
Ṁ1k
Gabrielle
Ṁ1k
Will there be a food shortage related to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz?
55%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
45
Ṁ1k
Ernie
Ṁ1k
Will we see a destroyed tanker in the Straight of Hormuz by mid 2026?
3%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
30
Ṁ1k
adhoum
Ṁ1k
Will Iran officially announce a blockade/closure of the Strait of Hormuz for more than 48 consecutive hours by July 2026
86%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
41
Ṁ1k
Bill Clinton
Ṁ1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]
49%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
6
Ṁ1k
Bill Clinton
Ṁ1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of August? [Polymarket]
68%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
22
Ṁ1k
archvenison
Ṁ2.5k
How many weeks will the Strait of Hormuz remain closed?
19.0
52
Ṁ2.5k
Shrilaxmi 🍄
Ṁ100
Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
59%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
23
Ṁ100
Promising Wind
Ṁ150
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ...
0.9%
1. April 30
Yes
No
Open options
0.9%
2. May 31
Yes
No
Open options
43%
3. July 31
Yes
No
Open options
65%
4. September 30
Yes
No
Open options
See 2 more answers
20
Ṁ150
Plant
Ṁ1k
Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz?
22%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
43
Ṁ1k
Bill Clinton
Ṁ1k
Will 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
20%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
14
Ṁ1k
Balasar
Ṁ575
Which countries will assist militarily in reopening the Strait of Hormuz during ongoing hostilities?
63%
United Arab Emirates
Yes
No
Open options
29%
Saudi Arabia
Yes
No
Open options
19%
Qatar
Yes
No
Open options
19%
Bahrain
Yes
No
Open options
See 19 more answers
35
Ṁ575
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