Skip to main content

Straight of Hormuz

Ṁ1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? [Polymarket]
NO
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? [Polymarket]
NO
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? [Polymarket]
NO
Ṁ1k
Ṁ100
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30? [Polymarket]
Resolved
YES
40+
Resolved
NO
60+
Resolved
NO
80+
Ṁ100
Ṁ1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of July? [Polymarket]
NO
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1k
More ships through Strait of Hormuz than goals at 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YES
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1k
Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
8% chance
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1k
On June 28th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Resolved
YES
x ≥ 2
Resolved
YES
x ≥ 4
Resolved
YES
x ≥ 6
Resolved
YES
x ≥ 8
See 3 more answers
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? [Polymarket]
1% chance
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1k
Will there be a food shortage related to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz?
48% chance
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1k
Will we see a destroyed tanker in the Straight of Hormuz by mid 2026?
NO
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1k
Will Iran officially announce a blockade/closure of the Strait of Hormuz for more than 48 consecutive hours by July 2026
88% chance
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]
3% chance
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of August? [Polymarket]
1% chance
Ṁ1k
Ṁ2.5k
How many weeks will the Strait of Hormuz remain closed?
13.5
Ṁ2.5k
Ṁ100
Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
17% chance
Ṁ100
Ṁ150
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ...
0.9%
1. April 30
0.9%
2. May 31
1%
3. July 31
2%
4. September 30
See 2 more answers
Ṁ150
Ṁ1k
Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz?
20% chance
Ṁ1k
Ṁ1k
Will 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
1% chance
Ṁ1k
Ṁ575
Which countries will assist militarily in reopening the Strait of Hormuz during ongoing hostilities?
63%
United Arab Emirates
29%
Saudi Arabia
19%
Qatar
19%
Bahrain
See 19 more answers
Ṁ575