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Straight of Hormuz

Ṁ1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? [Polymarket]
6% chance
Ṁ1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? [Polymarket]
31% chance
Ṁ1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? [Polymarket]
23% chance
Ṁ100
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30? [Polymarket]
94%
40+
57%
60+
14%
80+
Ṁ1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of July? [Polymarket]
54% chance
Ṁ1k
More ships through Strait of Hormuz than goals at 2026 FIFA World Cup?
75% chance
Ṁ1k
Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
87% chance
Ṁ1k
On June 28th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
98%
x ≥ 2
97%
x ≥ 4
96%
x ≥ 6
91%
x ≥ 8
See 3 more answers
Ṁ1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? [Polymarket]
71% chance
Ṁ1k
Will there be a food shortage related to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz?
55% chance
Ṁ1k
Will we see a destroyed tanker in the Straight of Hormuz by mid 2026?
3% chance
Ṁ1k
Will Iran officially announce a blockade/closure of the Strait of Hormuz for more than 48 consecutive hours by July 2026
86% chance
Ṁ1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]
49% chance
Ṁ1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of August? [Polymarket]
68% chance
Ṁ2.5k
How many weeks will the Strait of Hormuz remain closed?
19.0
Ṁ100
Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
59% chance
Ṁ150
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ...
0.9%
1. April 30
0.9%
2. May 31
43%
3. July 31
65%
4. September 30
See 2 more answers
Ṁ1k
Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz?
22% chance
Ṁ1k
Will 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
20% chance
Ṁ575
Which countries will assist militarily in reopening the Strait of Hormuz during ongoing hostilities?
63%
United Arab Emirates
29%
Saudi Arabia
19%
Qatar
19%
Bahrain
See 19 more answers