Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
On June 28th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
3
Ṁ1kṀ87
Jun 28
61%
x ≥ 2
52%
x ≥ 4
52%
x ≥ 6
48%
x ≥ 8
48%
x ≥ 10
47%
x ≥ 12
45%
x ≥ 14

Question

On June 28th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?

Resolution Criteria

Let x be the 7-day average ships passing on through the Strait of Hormuz on June 28th 2026. Using IMF PortWatch as the official source, each market above will resolve to YES if the inequality is true and will resolve to NO otherwise.

If the data are not available by end of day July 28th, I will resolve each market to NA.

Related Markets

Shipping interruptions in the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!