Life in 2040

Ṁ2.8k
Will an asteroid be mined for minerals before 2040?
55% chance
Ṁ1.4k
Will there be an AI CEO by 2040?
63% chance
Ṁ2k
Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040?
74% chance
Ṁ1k
Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2040?
66% chance
Ṁ1.2k
Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2040?
92% chance
Ṁ1k
Will AI become a strategic geopolitical weapon by 2040?
80% chance
Ṁ1k
Will any fusion reactor project demonstrate engineering breakeven before the end of 2040?
87% chance
Ṁ1k
By 2040, will AI be capable of creating a working Manifold clone to a prompt?
68% chance
Ṁ1k
Will a fully autonomous, Level 5 self driving car be available for purchase in the US by the year 2040?
81% chance
Ṁ1k
By the year 2040, will the US military integrate a bipedal humanoid robot, similar to Boston Dynamics' Atlas, into its arsenal?
74% chance
Ṁ1k
Will most digital entertainment be AI generated by 2040?
67% chance
Ṁ1k
Will there be a high-speed rail between LA and SF by the end of 2040?
27% chance
Ṁ1k
Will anti-aging treatments developed, approved and available for public usage by 2040?
40% chance
Ṁ1k
Will there be a robot caregiver that can take care of a person 80+ years old w/o assistance by end of 2040?
80% chance
Ṁ1k
Will a complex nanoscale self-replicating assembler be developed before 2040?
53% chance
Ṁ1k
Will solar become the primary source of electricity in the US before 2040?
75% chance
Ṁ1k
Will any country implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?
53% chance
Ṁ1k
Will a major country achieve complete carbon neutrality by 2040?
55% chance
Ṁ1k
How many people worldwide will be living primarily underground in 2040?
14m
Ṁ1k
What will the total off-Earth human population be at the end of 2040?
200
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