By the year 2040, will the US military integrate a bipedal humanoid robot, similar to Boston Dynamics' Atlas, into its arsenal?
37
1kṀ865
2041
71%
chance

Boston Dynamics' Atlas is a humanoid robot being developed by Boston Dynamics that is capable of performing a wide range of tasks autonomously, including navigating rough terrain and executing a variety of physical movements.

For the purposes of this prediction market question, the following criteria will be used to determine whether the answer is yes or no:

  • "Integrated into the US military" means that the robot is actively being used by the military in some capacity, whether for combat or support operations.

  • "Similar to Boston Dynamics' Atlas" means that the robot shares the same general physical characteristics and capabilities as Atlas, including a bipedal form factor and advanced mobility and manipulation abilities.

  • The resolution date is December 31, 2040. If the US military has not officially integrated a humanoid robot similar to Atlas, into its arsenal by that date, the answer will be "No." If such a robot has been integrated, the answer will be "Yes."

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