If Trump is president

Ṁ4.7k

If Trump becomes President, will he "Make America Great Again" by the midterms? [Gallup Polling > Obama]

YES

Ṁ11k

Will Trump win the US election if he has been convicted of a crime in his January 6th Federal Trial? [10k Subsidy]

N/A

Ṁ1k

If Biden is re-elected President, will gas prices go under three dollars a gallon before the midterms?

N/A

Ṁ1k

If Biden is re-elected President, will gas prices stay under four dollars a gallon until the midterms?

N/A

Ṁ1k

If Trump becomes President, will gas prices go under three dollars a gallon before the midterms?

YES

Ṁ1k

If Trump becomes President, will gas prices stay under four dollars a gallon until the midterms?

34% chance

Ṁ130

Given the Republican candidate wins the 2024 presidency, will the real median household income be more than $74,580?

81% chance

Ṁ90

Given the Democratic candidate wins the 2024 presidency, will the real median household income be more than $74,580?

78% chance

Ṁ170

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 6 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

11% chance

Ṁ170

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a near total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

2% chance

Ṁ210

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

8% chance

Ṁ110

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 15 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

12% chance

Ṁ270

If Biden is elected President in 2024, how many states will have restricted abortion a year later?

26%

Less than 15 states

19%

15-19

19%

20-24

12%

25-29

See 2 more answers

Ṁ270

If Trump is elected President in 2024, how many states will have restricted abortion a year later?

100%85%

20-24

2%

Less than 15 states

4%

15-19

5%

25-29

See 2 more answers

Ṁ1.6k

What happens if Trump wins 2024 elections? [unlinked, add your answers]

94%

The U.S.'s democracy index, as measured by the Economist Intelligence Unit, goes down by at least .1 from 2024 to 2028.

88%

Trump pardons himself (regardless of whether the self-pardon is overruled by court decision)

83%

Trump serves full second term

81%

He serves the full term

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Ṁ1k

Conditional on losing the 2024 election, will Donald Trump serve time?

N/A

Ṁ1.1k

If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)

37% chance

Ṁ5.5k

If Donald Trump is elected, which of his campaign promises will be achieved?

88%

empower the President to impose reciprocal tariffs

82%

"lower taxes"

74%

"defend your Second Amendment right to keep and bear arms"

71%

"increase penalties for assaults on law enforcement"

See 52 more answers