MANIFOLD
If Trump is elected President in 2024, how many states will have restricted abortion a year later?
5
Ṁ270Ṁ342
resolved Jan 3
100%85%
20-24
2%
Less than 15 states
4%
15-19
5%
25-29
2.0%
30-34
1.9%
At least 35 states

Resolves according to this list of states and their abortion restrictions from Planned Parenthood. States with either red "Total ban on abortion" or yellow "severely" or "further" restricts abortion labels count.

If Trump doesn't become President, this market resolves N/A.

When this market was made, 21 states restricted abortion.

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@creator resolve?

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