If Trump becomes President, will gas prices stay under four dollars a gallon until the midterms?
177
1kṀ29k2026
79%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves based on the national monthly average gas price, which is currently $3.33 as of market creation. This average has only ever been over $4/gallon in March-August of 2021 and June of 2008.
If Donald Trump is not elected president, this market resolves N/A. If he is elected president, this market resolves YES if average gas prices stay under $4 a gallon between January 2025 and November 2026 and NO if they do not.
Update: We may close this market temporarily around election day to prevent manipulation.
Related:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
If Trump wins the election will the inflation rate in 2025 be below 2.5% (Current 2.5%)?
31% chance
If Trump wins, will abortion rates rise from the 2024 elections to the 2026 midterms?
38% chance
If Trump wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.8 billion tons in 2025?
43% chance
If Trump wins, will any country enact economic sanctions against the U.S. by the 2026 midterms?
61% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
4% chance
If Donald Trump is elected president in 2024, what will the average yearly inflation be between Jan 2025 and Jan 2029?
If Trump is elected, will consumer "vibes" return to pre-pandemic levels before the midterms in 2026?
22% chance
If Trump wins, will the US suicide rate decrease between his inauguration and the 2026 Midterms?
43% chance
If Trump wins, will there be an attempt on his life by midterms?
33% chance
If Trump is elected, will there be "no tax on tips" by 2028?
91% chance