MANIFOLD
Given the Democratic candidate wins the 2024 presidency, will the real median household income be more than $74,580?
3
Ṁ90Ṁ57
2029
78%
chance

Resolves N/A if the Democrat doesn't win.

Real median household income is $74,580 as of 2022.

Resolves based on census.gov.

This question is basically asking for the probability of stagnation or recession for the median American given the Democrat wins.

See also this question for if the Republican wins.

https://www.census.gov/library/publications/2023/demo/p60-279.html#:~:text=Real%20median%20household%20income%20was,and%20Table%20A%2D1).

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