If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term?
196
1.1kṀ37k
2029
72%
chance
Suggested change of resolution criteria
-18.0%
on
Trump inauguration
-5.0%
on

This will be resolved based on the first V-DEM report after his term (i.e. March 2029), which collects data up to and including 2028.'

https://v-dem.net/

If Trump is not elected in 2024, this market will close NA (all mana returned).

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