If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 6 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?
8
50
Ṁ107Ṁ170
2026
39%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will resolve YES if the GOP wins the House, Senate and Presidency, and a national abortion ban of 6 weeks or less if passed by the 2026 midterm election. This question will still resolve YES if rape, incest, health of mother, or life of mother exceptions are included in the passed legislation. This question will resolve N/A if the GOP does not win a trifecta. A "heartbeat bill" would resolve this question YES if was defined to significantly limit 6 week abortions.
If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?
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